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PIRA'S GLOBAL POLITICAL RISK SERVICE |
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What do you receive with the GPRS |
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What Are the Benefits of the Global Political Risk Service?
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The Global Political Risk Service provides a fully
consistent supplement to
PIRA’s Reference Case retainer services,
with valuable deliverables that cover both the
short-term trading horizon and the long-term strategic
landscape. Specifically, clients benefit from the
following service components:
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Short-Term-Focus Deliverables |
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How GPRS Supplements
The Core PIRA Retainers |
PIRA has always
incorporated political events into
its Reference Case forecasts for
oil, gas and electricity. With GPRS
staff, PIRA is now able to more
fully — and, ideally, more
accurately — factor risks into its
forecasts.
So why get GPRS if your company is
already a client to a core retainer
(other than Global Oil)?
Besides the benefits of the listed
deliverables, there are other
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1.
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The influence of risk can
often be a personal one. Whereas
PIRA consultants may put a small
value on a risk factor, you may
feel a larger one is necessary.
GPRS gives you the full sweep of
information and analysis to
allow you to draw your own
conclusions, and thus your own
adjustments to the forecasts.
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2.
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Access to the GPRS staff is
limited to clients only. Having
such a sounding board that is
only a phone call or email away
is invaluable.
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3.
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With face-to-face access to
GPRS analysts and Advisory Board
members, the Roundtable alone
could be worth half the retainer
fee. You will be equipped with
the best tools to interpret
evolving political risks.
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4.
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Now more than ever, the influence of
world events has a bearing on where
markets go. Can you afford to not
fully equip your company with the
intelligence needed to achieve
optimal results in an uncertain
world?
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1. GPRS Alerts |
- Sent “as events dictate,” Alerts are insightful
assessments of specific events with the potential to
alter short- and long-term trends. Past news reports
include:
- Nigeria: Supply Risk Intensifies, Efforts to
Restore Supply More Difficult
- Washington: Big on Energy Goals, Small on Action
- Algeria: Recent Bombings Are Wake-Up Call to
North African Energy Interests
- Iran and U.S: Calming the Waters to Avert a
Crisis
- Venezuela: Japan Supply Deal Provides New
Financing Vehicle for PDV
- Russia: Speech Signals Strategic Shift Away from
the U.S. (and Atlantic Basin)
- SPR Fill and Expansion, No Physical Impact For
Awhile
- Angola and Sudan: Possible Impact of OPEC
- Mexico: Oil Supply Pessimistic Regardless of
Vote
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2. Weekly Country Risk Scorecard |
- One-page update that tracks political developments
in major producing and consuming countries and assesses
the price impact (bullish, neutral, bearish).
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3. Periodic Conference
Calls with Country Experts |
- Recent conference calls include:
- Nigeria Election Preview
- The Impact of U.S. Election on Iraq and Iran
Policy
- Crisis in the Middle East
- Bolivia and the Energy Nationalization
- Iran: Post-Election Outlook
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Strategic-Focus Deliverables |
4. GPRS Strategy Papers |
- In-depth analysis of emerging political, regulatory
and investment trends that will alter the investment
climate as well as the future outlook for supply and
demand. GPRS Strategy Papers have been notably ahead of
the curve in identifying such emerging trends as Chinese
overseas investment patterns, royalty regime changes,
and U.S. Congressional policy direction. Past strategy
papers include:
- Momentum Builds for Tighter Contract
Terms: An Outlook and Analysis.
Analyzes the historic relationship between oil price
changes and contract terms and chronicles upstream
contract changes since 2004.
- China and India: The Market and
Policy Implications of Their Overseas Energy
Strategy. Analyzes recent acquisition
trends by Chinese and Indian oil companies,
quantifies equity volumes, outlines their future
strategies and draw conclusions about the investment
and geopolitical implications.
- Fuel Price Subsidies: A Key Variable
to Future Energy Demand Growth.
Reviews the pricing policies of the largest energy
consumers, analyzes the impact of recent reform on
future demand and assesses the outlook for reform in
countries that heavily subsidize prices.
- Biofuels: A Review of Government
Policies by Country. Reviews specific
biofuels actions undertaken by 37 countries
including large oil consumers and/or importers and
provides a rough estimate of future biofuels demand
based on existing mandates.
- Avian Flu: Status of the Virus and
Oil Risks. Evaluates the status of the
epidemic, highlights producing countries at risk and
assesses the risks for E&P operations.
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5. Annual Stability Index |
- The GPRS Annual Stability Index measures economic,
political and social risks in 35 key countries.
Country coverage includes:
- Opec Suppliers: Algeria,
Angola, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya,
Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Venezuela
- Non-Opec Suppliers: Azerbaijan,
Canada, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Norway, and Russia
- Oil Importers: Brazil, China,
EU, India, Japan, South Korea, and the U.S.
- Current LNG Exporters: Algeria,
Australia, Brunei, Egypt, Equatorial Guinea,
Indonesia, Libya, Malaysia, Nigeria, Oman, Qatar,
Trinidad, UAE, and the U.S.
- Future LNG Exporters: Angola,
Bolivia, Iran, Norway, Peru, Russia, Venezuela, and
Yemen
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6. Annual Roundtable |
- Clients receive two invitations to attend a
roundtable at PIRA’s Retainer Client Seminar in October
in New York. There, they can:
- Discuss global and country risks directly with
PIRA Political Risk team and Advisory Board
- Dialogue over specific countries or new areas of
interest
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Service subscription also includes: |
Access to PIRA Staff |
- As with all PIRA services, phone and email access to
the GPRS group allows clients to obtain timely
analytical support, facilitating a more productive use
of their time and maximizing the value of the written
content.
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PIRA Online |
- All reports, data tables, and presentations are
available to clients on PIRA Online. As such, recent and
archived materials are easily searchable.
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